The Impact of COVID-19 on Tuberculosis Program Performance in the Kingdom of Lesotho.

BACKGROUND: As tuberculosis (TB) is an airborne disease requiring multi-month therapy, systems of TB detection and care were profoundly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. The worsening economic situation, including income, food, and housing insecurity, impacted the social conditions in which TB-already a leading killer in resource-limited settings-thrives. This study assesses the impact of COVID-19 on TB detection and treatment in Lesotho. METHODS: We used routine program data from 78 health facilities in Lesotho. We created time series models from July 2018 to March 2021 to quantify COVID-19-related disruptions to TB program indicators: outpatient visits; presumptive, diagnosed, treated, and HIV co-infected cases; and treatment outcomes including successful (cured and completed) and unsuccessful (death and treatment outcome unknown). RESULTS: We observed a significant decline in cumulative outpatient visits (-37.4%, 95% prediction interval [PI]: -40.1%, -28.7%) and new TB cases diagnosed (-38.7%, 95%PI: -47.2%, -28.4%) during the pandemic, as well as TB-HIV co-infections (-67.0%, 95%PI: -72.6%, -60.0%). However, we observed no difference in treatment success (-2.1%, 95%PI: -17.0%, 15.8%). CONCLUSIONS: TB case detection in Lesotho fell during the COVID-19 pandemic, likely related to the uptake of overall health services. However, treatment success rates did not change, indicating a strong health system and the success of local strategies to maintain treatment programs.

Adverse Events to SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) Vaccines and Policy Considerations that Inform the Funding of Safety Surveillance in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Mixed Methods Study.

INTRODUCTION/OBJECTIVE: Rapid global approval of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines and concurrent introduction in high-income countries and low- and middle-income countries (LMIC) highlights the importance of equitable safety surveillance of adverse events following immunization (AEFIs). We profiled AEFIs to COVID-19 vaccines, explored reporting differences between Africa and the rest of the world (RoW), and analyzed policy considerations that inform strengthening of safety surveillance in LMICs. METHODS: Using a convergent mixed-methods design we compared the rate and profile of COVID-19 vaccines' AEFIs reported to VigiBase by Africa versus the RoW, and interviewed policymakers to elicit considerations that inform the funding of safety surveillance in LMICs. RESULTS: With 87,351 out of 14,671,586 AEFIs, Africa had the second-lowest crude number and a reporting rate of 180 adverse events (AEs) per million administered doses. Serious AEs (SAEs) were 27.0%. Death accounted for about 10.0% of SAEs. Significant differences were found in reporting by gender, age group, and SAEs between Africa and the RoW. AstraZeneca and Pfizer BioNTech vaccines were associated with a high absolute number of AEFIs for Africa and RoW; Sputnik V contributed a considerably high rate of AEs per 1 million administered doses. Funding decisions for safety surveillance in LMICs were not based on explicit policies but on country priorities, perceived utility of data, and practical implementation issues. CONCLUSION: African countries reported fewer AEFIs relative to the RoW. To enhance Africa's contribution to the global knowledge on COVID-19 vaccine safety, governments must explicitly consider safety monitoring as a priority, and funding organizations need to systematically and continuously support these programs.

The impact of COVID-19 and national pandemic responses on health service utilisation in seven low- and middle-income countries.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted health services worldwide, which may have led to increased mortality and secondary disease outbreaks. Disruptions vary by patient population, geographic area, and service. While many reasons have been put forward to explain disruptions, few studies have empirically investigated their causes. OBJECTIVE: We quantify disruptions to outpatient services, facility-based deliveries, and family planning in seven low- and middle-income countries during the COVID-19 pandemic and quantify relationships between disruptions and the intensity of national pandemic responses. METHODS: We leveraged routine data from 104 Partners In Health-supported facilities from January 2016 to December 2021. We first quantified COVID-19-related disruptions in each country by month using negative binomial time series models. We then modelled the relationship between disruptions and the intensity of national pandemic responses, as measured by the stringency index from the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker. RESULTS: For all the studied countries, we observed at least one month with a significant decline in outpatient visits during the COVID-19 pandemic. We also observed significant cumulative drops in outpatient visits across all months in Lesotho, Liberia, Malawi, Rwanda, and Sierra Leone. A significant cumulative decrease in facility-based deliveries was observed in Haiti, Lesotho, Mexico, and Sierra Leone. No country had significant cumulative drops in family planning visits. For a 10-unit increase in the average monthly stringency index, the proportion deviation in monthly facility outpatient visits compared to expected fell by 3.9% (95% CI: -5.1%, -1.6%). No relationship between stringency of pandemic responses and utilisation was observed for facility-based deliveries or family planning. CONCLUSIONS: Context-specific strategies show the ability of health systems to sustain essential health services during the pandemic. The link between pandemic responses and healthcare utilisation can inform purposeful strategies to ensure communities have access to care and provide lessons for promoting the utilisation of health services elsewhere.

Childhood immunization during the COVID-19 pandemic: experiences in Haiti, Lesotho, Liberia and Malawi.

OBJECTIVE: To examine changes in vaccination of children younger than 1 year during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic (March 2020-August 2021) in Haiti, Lesotho, Liberia and Malawi. METHODS: We used data from health management information systems on vaccination of children aged 12 months or younger in districts supported by Partners In Health. We used data from January 2016 to February 2020 and a linear model with negative binomial distribution to estimate the expected immunization counts for March 2020-August 2021 with 95% prediction intervals, assuming no pandemic. We compared these expected levels with observed values and estimated the immunization deficits or excesses during the pandemic months. FINDINGS: Baseline vaccination counts varied substantially by country, with Lesotho having the lowest count and Haiti the highest. We observed declines in vaccination administration early in the COVID-19 pandemic in Haiti, Lesotho and Liberia. Continued declines largely corresponded to high rates of COVID-19 infection and discrete stock-outs. By August 2021, vaccination levels had returned to close to or above expected levels in Haiti, Liberia and Lesotho; in Malawi levels remained below expected. CONCLUSION: Patterns of childhood immunization coverage varied by country over the course of the pandemic, with significantly lower than expected vaccination levels seen in one country during subsequent COVID-19 waves. Governments and health-care stakeholders should monitor vaccine coverage closely and consider interventions, such as community outreach, to avoid or combat the disruptions in childhood vaccination.

Syndromic surveillance using monthly aggregate health systems information data: methods with application to COVID-19 in Liberia.

BACKGROUND: Early detection of SARS-CoV-2 circulation is imperative to inform local public health response. However, it has been hindered by limited access to SARS-CoV-2 diagnostic tests and testing infrastructure. In regions with limited testing capacity, routinely collected health data might be leveraged to identify geographical locales experiencing higher than expected rates of COVID-19-associated symptoms for more specific testing activities. METHODS: We developed syndromic surveillance tools to analyse aggregated health facility data on COVID-19-related indicators in seven low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), including Liberia. We used time series models to estimate the expected monthly counts and 95% prediction intervals based on 4 years of previous data. Here, we detail and provide resources for our data preparation procedures, modelling approach and data visualisation tools with application to Liberia. RESULTS: To demonstrate the utility of these methods, we present syndromic surveillance results for acute respiratory infections (ARI) at health facilities in Liberia during the initial months of the COVID-19 pandemic (January through August 2020). For each month, we estimated the deviation between the expected and observed number of ARI cases for 325 health facilities and 15 counties to identify potential areas of SARS-CoV-2 circulation. CONCLUSIONS: Syndromic surveillance can be used to monitor health facility catchment areas for spikes in specific symptoms which may indicate SARS-CoV-2 circulation. The developed methods coupled with the existing infrastructure for routine health data systems can be leveraged to monitor a variety of indicators and other infectious diseases with epidemic potential.